S
Sean
Guest
Tuesday 4th April
7.00 Southwell - Double March 5/1 (365) - Too Much 6/1 (365)
Two runners catch my eye in this , and like my last selections theyre up against a fancied Charlie Appleby horse and some others from decent stables , but i'm more than hopeful that they can both go well here and do themselves justice at decent prices (fingers crossed). First one is DOUBLE MARCH who comes into this after 182 days off and makes his handicap debut , has run well on all three starts to date , a third , a second and a win in his last run , that win was over 7f here at Shuvvel and he'd placed on his only other start here so seems to like it here which is always a plus in my book. Lost his first two by the narrowest of margins and showed a bit of grit and gumption to win his last race by a head. I think he's probably grown up over that lay off and hopefully improved , which would definatley see him in with a major shout here. Trainer S Woods has a 22% strike rate in the past fortnight and has a decent 25% strike rate when bringing them here this season. Jockey James Doyle gets the ride for the first time on whats his only ride of the day and he has a 20% strike rate in the past three weeks , the booking looks a statement of intent to me and hopefully he can go close. The other one i like is TOO MUCH , who comes into on the back a solid looking length and three quarter win over this evenings CD on his handicap debut. Had run well in his previous three outings , two of which were here at Southwell - 4.2.3. Gone up 5lb for that success but i think he may well be able to defy that penalty and follow up. Trainer James Horton runs just this one tonight and whilst he hasnt been amongst the winners lately he has been getting the placers so im not too concerned on that score and he has won with the sole runner hes brought here this season. Jockey PJ McDonald also here for just this one , and he has ridden the horse on all his starts to date so knows him well enough , has a 13.3% strike rate at the course this term. Will be surprised if he isnt making his presence felt come the line.
3.30 Fontwell - Monjules 2/1 (365)
MONJULES has looked a different horse since going to Harry Frys' yard , after 306 days off he came out and promptly beat Sambezi by 6 lengths at Sedgefield .. He's had four runs for his new yard to date and won three of them , the last two have been over todays CD making him 2/2 here. He beat Sambezi again in his penultimate run (CD) , this time by a length and three quarters , last time out he beat Polyphonic by 1 1/2 lengths. Although not as eyecatching those wins still looked good and i think he could have won by further tbh. Ben Bromley gets the leg up for the first time on his sole ride of the day , replacing Lorcan Murtagh whose ridden him the last four times , he takes off a helpful 5lb and hasnt been in bad form lately notching up a 23.1% strike rate over the past four weeks and he does well here at Fontwell with a 29.6% strike rate overall. Trainer brings just this one to the meeting and over the last two weeks he has a 40% strike rate , and has done well at the course this season with a 27.3% strike rate. When the trainer and jockey have paired up over the last three weeks they come away with a 20% strike rate. Should make a solid attempt to make it a three timer.
7.00 Southwell - Double March 5/1 (365) - Too Much 6/1 (365)
Two runners catch my eye in this , and like my last selections theyre up against a fancied Charlie Appleby horse and some others from decent stables , but i'm more than hopeful that they can both go well here and do themselves justice at decent prices (fingers crossed). First one is DOUBLE MARCH who comes into this after 182 days off and makes his handicap debut , has run well on all three starts to date , a third , a second and a win in his last run , that win was over 7f here at Shuvvel and he'd placed on his only other start here so seems to like it here which is always a plus in my book. Lost his first two by the narrowest of margins and showed a bit of grit and gumption to win his last race by a head. I think he's probably grown up over that lay off and hopefully improved , which would definatley see him in with a major shout here. Trainer S Woods has a 22% strike rate in the past fortnight and has a decent 25% strike rate when bringing them here this season. Jockey James Doyle gets the ride for the first time on whats his only ride of the day and he has a 20% strike rate in the past three weeks , the booking looks a statement of intent to me and hopefully he can go close. The other one i like is TOO MUCH , who comes into on the back a solid looking length and three quarter win over this evenings CD on his handicap debut. Had run well in his previous three outings , two of which were here at Southwell - 4.2.3. Gone up 5lb for that success but i think he may well be able to defy that penalty and follow up. Trainer James Horton runs just this one tonight and whilst he hasnt been amongst the winners lately he has been getting the placers so im not too concerned on that score and he has won with the sole runner hes brought here this season. Jockey PJ McDonald also here for just this one , and he has ridden the horse on all his starts to date so knows him well enough , has a 13.3% strike rate at the course this term. Will be surprised if he isnt making his presence felt come the line.
3.30 Fontwell - Monjules 2/1 (365)
MONJULES has looked a different horse since going to Harry Frys' yard , after 306 days off he came out and promptly beat Sambezi by 6 lengths at Sedgefield .. He's had four runs for his new yard to date and won three of them , the last two have been over todays CD making him 2/2 here. He beat Sambezi again in his penultimate run (CD) , this time by a length and three quarters , last time out he beat Polyphonic by 1 1/2 lengths. Although not as eyecatching those wins still looked good and i think he could have won by further tbh. Ben Bromley gets the leg up for the first time on his sole ride of the day , replacing Lorcan Murtagh whose ridden him the last four times , he takes off a helpful 5lb and hasnt been in bad form lately notching up a 23.1% strike rate over the past four weeks and he does well here at Fontwell with a 29.6% strike rate overall. Trainer brings just this one to the meeting and over the last two weeks he has a 40% strike rate , and has done well at the course this season with a 27.3% strike rate. When the trainer and jockey have paired up over the last three weeks they come away with a 20% strike rate. Should make a solid attempt to make it a three timer.
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