I only bet on major leagues TC and the Scottish leagues(no joke intended).
I wouldnt jump to any conclusions about it being easier to spot good prices in Scotland based on this season since its unusual to have 2 teams-Ross and Cowdenbeath who were to a large extent well tipped at the start at biggish prices(I know of a tipping company that tipped both pre-season and the racing post I believe went for Cowdenbeath)and go on to win.
As far as Southamton were concerned,since you also had West Ham onside,I really wouldnt worry about Reading winning-it was just one of those things......however there is a big,big lesson there,imho,and that is to be very very wary of betting on the Championship winner!!!Now,fine,if you were on saints when they were going well and still 8-1...then thats an exception..but in general,I only bet on promotion in that league.
AND,as far as league 2 is concerned theres only 1 thing you need to know....NEVER start betting on this lge until January!
Its almost impossible to go too far wrong if you do that.
(I did in fact break that rule this season due to the unusual situation whereby Crawley were the shortest priced faves in memory and I believed I could take advantage of the situation...but,as usual,I found that I would have been much better off waiting til January!)
Now,Thundercelt,all that was by way of preamble- which means that I have a very big point to make!:
The thing is TC that there may be a much more fundamental reason why youve failed to make a profit so far.......
You see the thing is that,um,I am not entirely sure that this really works if you only bet singles!!!!
I do realise that you have made money before with antepost singles-what I mean is,I dont think you should be hedging your bets if youre betting singles.(unless your original value bet was at big odds)..since obviously every time you hedge you are placing a bet that is not value(unless you are lucky enough to find a hedge that is also value).
I am actually not sure why you are hedging at all? Perhaps you arent ?
I myself hedge cos my whole strategy is based on finding,ideally,2/TWO very long odds bets which both go very close to winning so that I can then simultaneously hedge both bets at the end of the season in a double!
Because I am betting at very big odds,necessarily all my bets are hedges against every other bet and if I didnt hedge then most seasons I would lose my whole bank.......but you are betting at average odds of what-3-1?so you should always have 3 or 4 winners......I mean,basically,hedging bets is a grey area in gambling-to a large extent it depends on the size of your bank and the level of risk you are willing to take.
The interesting thing is that you say that you lost because you didnt hedge Southamton for example...hmmm....I think there is not enough value in antepost markets to make year on year profits by betting on singles and then hedging them.
BUT,I dont know....Ive never ever bet on singles in antepost markets(except as a hedge on an acca)...
hope some of this makes sense TC?
,the fact that Crawley gained automatic promotion means that,with only 1 or 2 possible soccer value bets left,its likely that I will be 250+ points down going into the summer
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