Tuesday 25th July
8.30 Wolverhampton - Show Compassion 9/4 (365) - Sparked 15/2 (Hills,Coral,SkyBet,BFred,Lads)
A couple catch my eye in this , the first of those is top weight SHOW COMPASSION who comes into this on the back of a solid win over 6f here last time out , beating Yaahobby by a length and a quarter. The third went close next time out going down by a neck , the fifth home has run well in fourth on two outings since that race so the form isnt looking too bad imo , in all honesty she won that race a shade cosily and despite a 4lb rise here i think she can go very close. Has run twice at Wolverhampton , winning over 6f last time and placing over todays CD. Trainer Michael Dods is one of those i look for in sprint races , and he has a 16% strike rate over the last couple of weeks , caught my attention that he has just this one at the meeting making her the longest traveller of the day here , Faye McManoman also here for just this one and she has ridden the horse once , last time out for the win , has a 12.5% strike rate when coming here this season and when she and the trainer have teamed up in the past three weeks they have a 50% strike rate. The other one is SPARKED , who hasnt been in sparkling form it has to be said but did run a cracker 4 races ago when a neck second at Lingfield , since then shes performed poorly it has to be said but does have the cheekpieces re applied this evening so im hoping that they'll do their job and that a better effort is on the cards as shes dropped in grade , placed on only start over CD and everything else looks fine , class , draw , handicap (has won off higher than todays mark) , and going. Only runner here for Jim Boyle who has a 13% strike rate at the course overall and jockey Charlie Bennett also here for just this one ride , has placed twice from his seven rides to date on the horse. If on song i think she can give them all something to think about.
5.30 Southwell - Methodtothemadness 7/2 (365,Coral,Hills,SkyBet,BFred,Lads) - Coconut Twist 10/3 (Coral,SkyBet,BFred,Lads)
Two for me in this one , METHODTOTHEMADNESS is the first one who won her first race last time out over this evenings CD , beating Pure Surf by 10 lengths , that was an eyecatching display imho as she was going away at the end of that race and i think theres every chance that she can follow up here despite the 9lb hike in the weights. Richard Philips has just this one here and he has a 20% strike rate in the last three weeks , and has a 50% strike rate when sending his runners here this term , whilst Finn Lambert who takes off a handy 5lb is also here for just this one ride , rode the mare to victory last time and like the trainer has a 20% strike rate over the last three weeks , and a 50% strike rate when coming here this season along with a profit of +£15.00 and when trainer and jockey have combined their talents over the last 21 days they have a 100% strike rate. I think she can definatley make her presence felt. COCONUT TWIST is my other selection , comes into this on the back of four seconds , so cant be faulted for consistency .. and sooner or later i think he has to get his head in front , hopefully this evening ! The winner of his last race , Secret Trix , has gone in again so the form has been franked somewhat , and if in the same sort of mood as his previous four races then he will definatley be on the premises come the business end of things. Has never won here at Shuvvel but has placed on both outings at the course so that shouldnt be a problem , this is his first try at todays distance but hes ran well over further and shorter so hopefully that shouldnt be a problem and it could well be the key to unlocking his potential and getting him his first win. Trainer Brian Barr bang in form at the moment with a 42.9% strike rate in the past month and the fact he sends just this one to the meeting could be a pointer in itself , and when sending his runners here this season he has a 50% strike rate. Jockey Harry Reed in the plate on his sole start of the day , and though hes never won on the horse he has 4 places from his 7 rides to date. Has a 33% strike rate over the last fortnight. Another decent showing looks to be on the cards and one that will hopefully see him break that maiden tag.
7.50 Chelmsford - Semser 14/1 (365,Corals,Hills,SkyBet,BFred,Lads) - Jenson Benson 20/1 (365,Coral,SkyBet,BFred,Lads)
A few of these look as though they could go well in this but im siding with a couple at decent prices who i think have the potential to upset the apple cart , the first one of those is JENSON BENSON whose been a bit hit and miss this year it has to be said and when last seen was plum last over tonights CD (to the other selection) but generally speaking he rarely runs a bad race here at Chelmsford , overall he has four wins and five places from fourteen runs , whilst over CD hes had five runs winning one and placing in three , so im hoping the little break hes had will see him return fit , well and ready to do himself justice at a course he clearly likes. Has never won in a class 4 handicap which is slightly off putting i admit but has ran well before , and has never won off a mark this high before but theres a first time for everything isnt there ?! .. Shaun Lycett hasnt had a winner for a while but hes been having a decent season overall , and has a 16.7% strike rate here this term , whilst Luke Morris is in the saddle for the first time which i think is a good sign. Can make his presence felt if anywhere near the top of his game. SEMSER is the other one i like , won here over CD back in May making it two from two over CD , followed that up with a solid second next time at Goodwood before throwing in a below par effort last time out at Lingfield , but im hoping that a return to a course he runs well at will see him getting back on track. That last time out win came off a 2lb lower mark than tonights but he has won off and ran well off tonights mark. Gary Moore has his yard in good order with a 42% strike rate over the last two weeks , and this season he has a 50% strike rate here at Chelmsford along with a healthy profit of +£36.80 , so the fact that he sends just this one here didnt go un noticed. Jockey Tom Queally also here for just this one tonight , and he has a 33% strike rate in the past two weeks , and this season he has a 40% strike rate when coming here alongside a profit of +£14.30. Can go well at a course he likes.
4.15 Musselburgh - Indication Spirit 9/4 (365,Coral,Hills,SkyBet,BFred,Lads)
INDICATION SPIRIT stands out to me in this nursery handicap , won well over CD last time out following a solid debut run in second , and theres every chance that she can follow up here this afternoon on her handicap debut off what looks to be a workable mark , and as shes only a two year old theres bound to me more improvement to come after only two races to date. Trainer has just this one at the meeting and he has a 26% strike rate in the last three weeks , and when sending them over the border from his Middleham yard he has a 37.5% strike rate along with a small profit of +£7.70 , Clifford Lee gets the steering job and he rode her to the last time out win making him one from one , he too is here for just this one , and he has a 22% strike rate over the last three weeks and he too has a 37.5% strike rate when coming to Musselburgh this term , and when he has paired up with the trainer over the past three weeks the pair have a 34% strike rate. Should be making her presence felt when it matters.