Monday 9th October
5.22 Windsor - Porterinthejungle 14/1 (365)
Like the chances of PORTERINTHEJUNGLE in this open looking race at a decent price , only had a couple of runs this year after coming back from 304 days off in August , acquitted herself well enough in both of those particularly the opening run of the year where she 1/2 length second to Hastily at Chepstow. Is one from one here at Windsor , and has won off higher than todays mark. Slightly off putting that she hasnt won over todays distance , but she won at 5f and 7f , so i dont think its the actual trip thats the problem , as if she gets 7f she gets 6f doesnt she ? .. anyways going , draw and class all pass the tick test , I think theres a good chance that she breaks her 6f duck here this evening. Robyn Brisland has just this one running here , and has a 17% strike rate in the past 21 days. Has a 25% strike rate here this term and a +£6.00 profit to boot. Kevin Stott in the saddle for the first time , has a 14% strike rate in the last fourteen days along with a 14.3% strike rate here at Windsor this season.
7.00 Wolverhampton - Study The Stars 6/1 (SkyBet)
Probbaly gonna regret this seeing as theres an inform Mark Prescott horse in the field whose currently favourite but i do like the look of STUDY THE STARS chances in this , has had two runs since coming back from 317 days off , both at Kempton , winning one and coming third in the other , so carrying on where he left off last year , so two wins from from last three runs. Does well here at Wolverhampton , over CD he has a win and a second from his two outings. I think theres a good chance he'll be better than his last time third now hes dropped back down to 1m4f which i think is his best trip , having won three and placed in a further two from his seven runs. Gets in on the same mark as his last time third , and though he hasnt won from a mark this high , that lto run proved its not beyond him. George Baker has been in decent form with a 16% strike rate over the last month and a profit of +£8.00 , and has a 19% strike rate when coming here overall. Jockey Aiden Keeley takes the reigns for the first time , and his 3lb claim wont go amiss , hes a claimer i rate and it looks a decent booking to me , and has a 15.6% strike rate when coming here to ride this season. And in the last three weeks when the trainer and jockey have teamed up they have a 100% strike rate.
8.30 Wolverhampton - Major Gatsby 7/2 (365) - Crystal Dawn 4/1 (365,Hills,SkyBet)
Couple in this one catch my eye , first one is top weight MAJOR GATSBY whose been running well this year with figures since returning to action in May - 6,4,2,3,4,6,4,3 .. When you consider that these runs have all been on turf and that hes better on the all weather then you can see why im hoping / expecting for a good showing , especially when you factor in his course and distance form - three wins from four runs. Back to wearing a visor today , and when hes got that on he has won three times and placed in four from fourteen runs. He has won from much higher marks in the past , and everything points to a solid effort here tonight. Bill Turner has just this one at the meeting , and he has a 12% strike rate here overall. William Carson in the saddle for the second time. The other selection for the race is CRYSTAL DAWN whose making her debut for Jessica Macey after leaving Ron Thompsons yard and i think its possible it may well be a winning one. Has run here over todays CD the last twice resulting in a second and a fourth , making it a win and two places from four runs (CD) overall. On the same mark as the last two runs , and thats her last winning mark back in October 2022 , over tonights CD , although she has won off higher. Trainer has been in good form with a 33.3% strike rate over the last three weeks , whilst jockey Laura Pearson picks up the ride for the first time , has a 15% strike rate over the past couple of weeks , and has a 10% strike rate when coming here overall.
5.05 Pontefract - Derwent Boy 11/2 (Hills) - Tellus 7/1 (365)
Going with two in this , firstly DERWENT BOY , was a neck second to the re opposing Havana Pursuit last time out after a 92 day break , that was a good , solid run and i think he can reverse that form today being 1lb better off with that rival here , and im sure that he'll strip fitter for that initial outing. Wore a visor for the first time in his last run and thats been retained today. Has yet to win a race in six runs but generally runs well and looking at his last race i think his time is coming. That last run was over todays CD , making it two places from two races here at Pontefract. If coming here in the same mood then i think he can go very close. Julie Camacho has just this one here , and over the past three weeks shes notched up a 25% strike rate , and has a 20% strike rate when coming here this season. Jockey David Nolan in the plate and he has a third and a fourth from his two rides to date. Has a 20% strike rate in the last twenty one days and a 12.8% strike rate here at Pontefract over the last five years along with a profit of +£15.65. TELLUS is my other choice , has been in a bit in and out this season , not showing much since her opening two runs of the year , both of which she won , first race was over todays CD makiing her 1-1 here. Would have to improve on recent runs but she is dropping in class , from 4 to 5 , and she has won off higher than todays mark , which hopefully can see her get back on track. Ground , class and draw all look okay to me , and i think she could go close. Trainer not been in great form lately but when sending them here this season he does have a 16.7% strike rate. Jockey Jason Hart has a 17% strike rate over the last couple of weeks , and from his nine rides to date he has two wins and three places.