Discussion in 'Eurovision 2012 Betting' started by Gavster, Mar 13, 2012.
Denmark v ITALY 8pts 10/11 @ StanJames
Bwin released their top4 bets. Nothing too great in there, expect maybe Italy at 3.25. Might be worth a shot. Gonna sleep on it though and think about it. What do you guys think?
Thanks Archi.I cant see any value in that market,very tight,you can beat most of them backing EW and get the win bet free.BUT at least we are starting to see more markets.Im really interested in the match bets now concerning Italy and Romania,my beady eyes are watchin for all those.
3pts Romania top-4 - 6.5 @ Bwin. Limits quite low! I see this as better value than going ew on the win market.
Id add though Gavster StanJames have win/ew 1/4 top 4 @ 33/1.I know you could consider the win part a waste but that gives you 7s on the place assuming you lose the win bet. For the sake of tying up some capital id want the cover of the win bet,
with the provado of course you lose double if it doesnt place,so i see your valid point.
Yeah I know, no much value in that Bwin top4 market. Expect italy 3.25, right? You cant get that with backing EW anywhere anymore(?) Or can you, have I missed something crucial? I see Gavster's point and I agree, with some countries the win seems like a waste. Not with Romania necessarily.. very slim, but slim is enough when odds are 34.0
I just don't see Romania winning, so to me, it's a waste.
3pts Bosnia to win Semi 2 - 41.0 ew 1-3 @ Stan James. (very speculative and odds seemed way too high)
5pts Iceland top 3 in semi 1 - 2.88 @ Skybet
5pts Romania top 3 in semi 1 - 2.63 @ Skybet
That Bosnia price was far too big,great spot ,iv missed it 33s now,and youl be pleased to hear,,,,,
3pts Romania top 4 5.5/1 @Bwin ,,,3pts Romania top 3 semi 1 6/4@ Skybet.
Il probably go with the Iceland bet too,but havent yet.,
4pts ew final 1-4 Greece 33/1 @ WilliamHill
6 pts Belgium v Netherlands 5/6@ Stan James.
6 points slovakia top 10 at 18.0
2 points slovenia top 10 at 9'0
6 pts Norway avg 32 Betfair
10 pts Romania avg 44 Betfair
Been chipping away at these two in the winner market as I see them as currently being the best value and completely overpriced.
Together wih Sweden I think these are the 3 best chances, and will look to get Sweden onside closer to the Draw as im hoping they drift a little in the coming weeks.
Hi Wizard,did you take any each way or top 4 or just win bets.Just there is still some good value for Romania on the top 4,top 10 and the match markets,might be worth checking out to get a bit of cover.
Hi Durham, those bets are just for the Win only on Betfair. I live in Australia so unfortunately do not have access to a lot of the UK/European books so I predominantly use Betfair. I fully intend to back both Norway and Romania for Top 4 and 10, however just waiting for some more liquidity before I step in.
Yes liquidity has been a bit tight.You can trade out some of that Romania now at a good profit.
Iv just backed Norway for top ten.
4 pts Norway top 10 6/5 @ Betfred
OK, it's 6 more days until the very important time for punters begin. Still looking at odds almost every day, but nothing too hot out there right now in my opinion. But, next sunday everything can change. Here is the rehearsal schedule, all punters should remember to check rehearsals as soon as they are available on youtube (any other way to see those?). Make your own judgmenets and bet accordingly. After next sunday the odds are likely to sway quite a bit. Just be sure to be on the right side 8)
thanks Archi thats a really usefull link.Not much as you say hot is there.Im pleased with the 6/5 i got for Romania/Turkey 8/11 now.
Keep a close watch on Greece Archi,im hearing the stage show is very good,
fat pocket of points sweden 5-2
hey durham whats the latest on the greek stage show? i heard u say about the aphrodite theme u heard anything more?
It was an interview on some obscure radio station and she mentioned we are going with an Aphrodite theme,then she quickly changed and started talking about something else and avoided the subject,probably knowing she shouldnt mention it.
So if right we can assume some form of Greek temple or statue and the costumes id pressume.Iv got a bit of Greece and its drifted out a lot on Betfair and iv got a lot up at 46s just hoping it gets taken.If the rumours are right i think it will really lift the song as its so tied into performance.If it does get taken id be looking to trade out of it and run a free bet.I really like the Greek entry though i know a lot dont.